Writings
Collections of writings and projects (71).
New Notes on The Metacrisis
recent writings moving the metacrisis discourse forward
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Macrostrategy
notes on fundamental factors for the future of civilisation
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Generators
identifying the fundamental causation of civilisation-scale catastrophes
- AI-Assisted
Zero-sum games are multi-agent behaviours emergent from conditions of material scarcity and cultural divergence
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A macrohistorical ‘process philosophy’ of existential risk from universal darwinian selection and replicator misalignment
X-risk is the emergent product of multiple civilisational subsystems interacting; most theories anchor on just one
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Good actors with failed coordination mechanisms. Bad actors with successful coordination mechanisms.
New Mechanisms: Coordination Studies
For collectively steering the fourth industrial revolution towards a desirable post-AGI society
We Need a New Theory of Coordination: An Introduction to Coordination (Studies) for the 21st Century
Catalysing a second enlightenment to steer the fourth industrial revolution and the Age of AGI
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Advancing a new cybernetics for the holistic alignment, control and interpretability of the human and the machine
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Searching the design space of civilisations for a civilisation that can stand the test of time
Revisiting the libertarian political philosophy of Anarchy, State and Utopia in light of post-AGI cultural dynamics, defensive accelerationism and pluralistic alignment
Markets, Superintelligence & the Economic Calculation Problem
Civilisational Mechanics
Philosophical musings on the megamachine, the metacrisis and metamodern mythos
‘In order to reconquer the machine and subdue it to human purposes, one must first understand and assimilate it’
Advancing a holistic, historical and heterodox understanding of how civilisation functions and dysfunctions
‘Adam Smith needs to meet Complexity economics’
Counter-balancing the order and progress narrative of liberal social theory
‘Led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention’
A short critique of Adam Smith’s ‘invisible hand’ metaphor in political economy, framed using AI alignment theory.
‘The true pilot must and will be the steerer whether other people like or not the possibility of this union of authority with the steerer’s art’
Modernising a classical thought experiment for the integration of AI agents into sociotechnical systems
Metatheory
on the metacrisis, metamodernism and metanarratives
‘The map is not the territory, but maps are all we possess’
Using conceptual engineering to arrive at a clearer definition of the metacrisis
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AI-Assisted
‘I had no need of that hypothesis’
Maps & Mechanisms of the Metacrisis
A sequence on metacrisis meta-theory (social ontology), conceptual analysis and the philosophy of causation:
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‘Our civilization is characterised by the word ‘progress’ - progress is its form rather than making progress one of its features’
A critical discourse on the prevailing progress narrative, the dialectic of enlightenment and the prospects for cultural evolution
‘The messiness of how a political apparatus is to be controlled and limited do not fit easily into one's hopes for a sleek, simple meta-utopian scheme’
The moral dangers of the many-worlds interpretation of the ideal civilisation design
‘What immortal hand or eye, Dare frame thy fearful symmetry?’
on the parallels between capitalism, superintelligence, God and evolution
‘Any sufficiently complex and adaptive system is indistinguishable from intelligent agency’
A Critical Theory-Fiction of Techno-Capital Acceleration, Super-states & Mega-Corporations
‘If ignorance of nature gave birth to gods, knowledge of nature is made for their destruction’
After the Death of God, the birth of Capital resurrected an identical structure of beliefs to justify the suffering in the world
‘Behind a veil, unseen yet present, I was the forceful soul that moved this mighty body’
The Market ‘Extended Order’ as a Distributed ‘Intelligent Designer’ & Emergent Agency with Multiple Subjects
‘It is the machine which possesses skill and strength in place of the worker, is itself the virtuoso, with a soul of its own in the mechanical laws acting through it’
A speculative ‘alien phenomenology’ and ‘philosophy of mind’ of capitalism as a ‘ghost inside the machine’
‘Could we tell the difference between a world that is run by a superintelligent GDP maximizer and the world that we live in right now?’
A civilisation-scale reverse Turing Test between global capitalism and unaligned ASI
‘“Economy” melted the matter of this & every other world to fit its presuppositions - the greatest theocratic achievement in a history that was never human’
On the symmetry between Leibniz’s ‘best of all possible worlds’ theodicy and Fukuyama’s ‘end of history’ thesis
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‘Man will never be able to know what money is any more than he will be able to know what God is’
On the market mysticism of the Hayekian philosophy of economics
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‘An evil demon, not less powerful than deceitful, has employed his whole energies in deceiving me’
After millennia of thought, it is not the philosopher kings of the enlightenment who will end the debate over free will, but the tech lords of the information age
‘The only tyrant I accept in this world is the ‘still small voice’ within me’
Living the Good Life as the Conscious Means to the Kingdom of Ends
‘For we wrestle not against flesh and blood, but against principalities, against powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this world’
A critique of the projectionist social metaphysics of hyper-agential hyper-realism
‘We are made to live together because of the interrelated structure of reality’
A response to the question: what do you find beautiful?
‘If I find in myself a desire which no experience in this world can satisfy, the most probable explanation is that I was made for another world’
Framing the fearful symmetry between C.S Lewis’s philosophy of religion & Mark Fisher’s philosophy of capitalism
Cybernetic Superintelligence
on modelling the world-system itself a form of misaligned human-machine ASI
‘We are called to be architects of the future, not its victims’
A collective problem we can collectively solve
A Critical Systems Theory of Catastrophic Risk from Misaligned Human, Artificial & Collective Intelligence
Critical Systems Existential Risk Studies
A heterodox alternative uniting critical theory and systems theory to identify the generative mechanisms of existential risk
‘Working in ERS–working to avoid human extinction–does not mean uncritically holding up the status quo as the ideal or even as acceptable’
A heterodox alternative uniting critical theory and systems theory to identify the generative mechanisms of existential risk
‘Ideology is strong exactly because it is no longer experienced as ideology’ (Zizek)
Without incorporating critical thought, Forethought will reproduce the problem of power it seeks to solve
‘The fresh design of a meta-system, exerting meta-controls, is the only solution to our problems’ (Beer)
Absent an actual plan for the form post-AGI society will take, Forethought will only produce vague philosophical notions, system-blind in their effect
‘The ideology that that we tend to perceive as non-ideological is precisely where we should be most alert to the functioning of ideology’ (Fisher)
Long-Term Risk from Post-Ideological Hyper-Normalisation
‘If we remain a society polarized between a privileged elite and a downtrodden mass, then the most plausible trajectory leads to something much darker’ (Frase)
From permanent underclass to neomalthusian classicide, the default future of AI-capitalism does not look good for the 99%
Critical Effective Altruism
A sequence of writings that critique the actually-existing EA movement for its dominant ideological alignment with global techno-capitalism
‘There must be many social systems that would work far better than any now in existence. In the scientific tradition, our task is to find them.’ (Kuhn)
‘The Power of Gods without the Wisdom of Gods’ as Capitalist Civilisational Unalignment
‘If you are temporarily ignorant about a phenomenon, that is a fact about your current state of mind, not a fact about the phenomenon. A blank map does not correspond to a blank territory’
Actually-existing reformist EA hinges on two dubious dominant ideological assumptions about the morality and immutability of capitalism
‘Progress - the theory that you can get something for nothing’
Disputes of Progress
is a critical response to the actually-existing progress movement (Roots of Progress) for its ideological alignment with actually-existing techno-capitalism.
‘Our present over-commitment to technics is in part due to a radical misinterpretation of the whole course of human development’
Naive progress accelerationism and techno-capitalist optimism is on the rise. We need a more nuanced macrohistory of civilisation and a more omni-considerate macrostrategy for its future.
‘The professional thinkers who sprang from these classes should have based upon the facts of technological and economic progress a general theory of human life’
The 19th century believed in post-capitalist progress; the 20th century became sceptical. We need a new way forward: ‘A Post-capitalism for the 21st Century’
‘Whatever does not enter into identity, whatever eludes rational planning in the realm of means, turns into frightening retribution’
Without factoring in externalities, narrow technological fixes can simply substitute one set of problems for another down the line
Pragmatic Utopianism
an extended and alternative conception of Effective Altruism holistically oriented towards civilisation analysis, design and transition
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‘The assumption that what currently exists must necessarily exist is the acid that corrodes all visionary thinking.’
Principles of a progressive beneficentrist movement towards a post-capitalism and post-communism for the 21st century
Projects
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Glossary/Wiki
A conceptual adaptive system
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Literature Map
A literature map of the civilisational superintelligence alignment problem
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Timeline
The (in)human history of a memetic entity
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Course
introducing researchers in AI strategy to a new field targeted towards solving coordination problems and designing new coordination mechanisms
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Reading List
on the epistemics, redteaming and criticism (R&C) of actually-existing EA
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Reading List
for a foundational understanding of the current civilisational condition we are in: the metacrisis and metamodernism
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